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(2019). Insufficiencies in Data Material: A Replication Analysis of Muchlinski, Siroky, He and Kocher. Political Analysis 27 (1), 114-118

This is the 2018 _Political Analysis_ in-house replication of Muchlinski, Siroky, He and Kocher (2016). This work, "Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data," was published in _Political …

(Forthcoming). Bayesian Modeling and Inference: A Postmodern Perspective, w/ Jeff Gill. In Luigi Curini and Robert J. Franzese, Jr. (eds), Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science & International Relations. SAGE

Bayesian methods and Bayesian inference are now ubiquitous in the social sciences, including political science and international relations. The reasons for this are numerous and include: a superior way to describe uncertainty, freedom from the deeply …

Improving Balance in Survey Experiments with Ordinal Variables Through Sequential Blocking

This paper improves balance in survey experiments by providing a new method of using ordinal variables to block in survey experiments. Ordinal variables, such as education, are highly important predictors of public opinion and behavior. It is …

Standard and Extended Model Comparison Tools: IC Tools and More, w/ Jeff Gill and Kumail Wasif

Building University Thesis Templates with R Markdown

Universities typically require graduate students to follow rigorous formatting standards when they submit their dissertations. To ease this process, administrative services offer `LaTeX` or Word templates that preload these requirements. Neither …